Harvey expected to head back to Gulf of Mexico

Harvey expected to head back to Gulf of Mexico

Tropical systems can form in the Atlantic, Caribbean, or Gulf of Mexico.

-Flooding rains will continue now through Thursday morning.

A hurricane-hunting plane sent to investigate the storm found that the wave had not become any better organized during the day as expected. Additional moisture banking against the mountains and ahead of a fairly weak low-pressure trough approaching from the west will likely increase rain tonight into Tuesday. This path is similar to the latest NHC forecast but is a little quicker.

NOAA's GOES East satellite provided an image of Potential Tropical Cyclone 10 as it continued moving north along the U.S. East Coast. It will move out to sea by early Wednesday morning. Waters may rise up to one to two feet above normal.

Over the past 50 years, the average date for formation of the ninth named storm is September 30, and the 10th is October 14.

Rainfall totals of more than 40 inches have been measured at several locations in the Houston area and southeastern Texas. "We're expecting torrential rains, winds, floods and chaotic conditions, and we're ready for it". "Higher winds should also be anticipated in these rain bands". And isolated or scattered power outages and property damage will be possible too.

Although it is unlikely Harvey will regain hurricane strength it wouldn't come as a surprise to see some strengthening, it'll depend on the influx of dry air and shear that is now hampering its progress. Rough surf may continue to be a problem. We'll see a nice mix of sun and clouds.

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Spotty showers were possible Monday night as well.

That front will deliver a much cooler and drier air mass for Friday. Highs will reach the upper 70s today, about 5 degrees below normal. Another taste of Fall.

Labor Day: Mostly Sunny. So it may not be a ideal weekend, but I would expect dry weather both before and after any chance of mid-weekend rain.

Harvey will remain a tropical storm as it dumps 10-20 more inches of rain along the Houston/Galveston areas of Texas.

Dan Zarrow is Chief Meteorologist for Townsquare Media New Jersey.

The next advisory is due out at 1:00 pm, and we will have that update out to you once we have a chance to go through it.