Tony Z's 5 tips to a picking a NCAA Tournament Bracket

Tony Z's 5 tips to a picking a NCAA Tournament Bracket

We see it every year.

We built this Madness Matchup tool to help you make an informed decision for every matchup in the tournament. Fill out your bracket now if you haven't already. No matter what you think qualifies as an upset, we here at numberFire have a better way to determine which upsets are truly the biggest. Some of the millions of people who fill out brackets this month will go insane with the upsets, while others stick to the "chalk" formula, nearly exclusively picking lower seeds. Of them, here are the five biggest upsets by nERD.

10 Wichita State over 7 Dayton.

North Dakota (22-9) was handed a tough road when it received a No. 15 seed and a first-round meeting with second-seeded Arizona, the Pac 12 champions. One click replaces the game with a fake screenshot of a note-taking or PowerPoint-like app. Leading scorer Kelan Martin comes off the Bulldog bench; only two starters average over 10 points a game. The gameplan for Xavier has to be to keep Trimble in check and make the other guys beat you. Kennard, Grayson Allen and Frank Jackson are all spectacular players, but the Blue Devils had trouble with turnovers and handling the ball against UNC Wilmington's pressure in last year's tournament without a real point guard on their roster. Past year I made four brackets, and as of 11am this morning I already have two made.

Unless you went to a No.1 seed school for higher education, even then, do not pick you alma mater under any circumstances. In an odd twist of fate, neither VCU nor St. Mary's has a team, so there's a void in the 7-10 matchup of the West. Those are the lowest-seeded teams to receive automatic bids to the Big Dance by winning their conference tournaments. After all, there's no better feeling than nailing an upset pick.

The selection show took place Sunday as the teams were distributed into the East, Midwest, South and West region brackets. Needless to say, it's impossible to predict how this team will play come tournament time. They come in red hot, victor of 15 straight, while Dayton lost their last 2 coming into the tournament. Fun fact: Through the end of the 2016 tournament, there have been 2,016 such games.

No. 14 Duke Beats No. 6 North Carolina In ACC Tournament Semis
That comeback, combined with the energy they spent the previous two nights, should give Notre Dame an edge heading into tonight. Meanwhile, Krzyzewski was praising his team's resilience. "They were contested threes and there was just nothing we could do".

Here's the schedule (all times Eastern).

Don'ts: * Do not pick a seed worse than a No. 12 to win in the round of 32.

3 Florida State over 14 Florida Gulf Coast. And there are only three in this year's tournament that are undervalued in the Final Four, title game and as an eventual champion: No. 1 Gonzaga, No. 2 Kentucky and No. 2 Louisville.

The last Final Four participant will be the Arizona out of the South lead by Wooden Award candidate, freshmen Lauri Markkanen. This one is all about balance, and who's hot coming in.

Who is everyone's picks for upsets this year? The leave-it-all-out-there mentality. The moments that literally make you crumple up that bracket and toss it in the trash can. So what do we know!?